E&T World Cup blog: day ten, Italy vs New Zealand

Well, well, well, what is happening with the World Cup world? First our entire panel gets it wrong for the first time with the England game, then the very next day it happens again as Ghana fail to overcome a 10-man Australia. Who’d a thunk it?

Fortunately, we have some divergence in our panel’s predictions today, with three of the team plumping for an Italian victory and one game soul foreseeing a draw. So at least one person will be right. No, wait – if New Zealand win, they’ll all be wrong again! Oh, my word, the tension is unbearable!

Ordinarily, one would say that there isn’t much chance of a New Zealand win, but in this World Cup you really can’t say. For all we know, and the way things are going, we could be watching a Uruguay vs Switzerland final in two weeks’ time. And who wouldn’t want to see that? Honestly, it has a romance about it that Spain vs Brazil doesn’t, wouldn’t you say?

Anyway, there’s still a long way to go, a lot of football to play and so forth. E&T lives in the moment and today’s moment will be Italy vs New Zealand.

Here are today’s predictions from our panel:

  • Dr Ian McHale, a Senior Lecturer in Statistics at the University of Salford: “Italy.”
  • David Williams, head of PR at Ladbrokes: “Italy”.
  • Chris Day, goalkeeper for Stevenage FC: “3-0 to Italy.”
  • Laura Daligan, ‘psychic, artist and pin-up’: “Italy vs NZ seems v.equal, so I’ll say a draw.”

These are just predictions, of course – what will the reality be? Why not add your comments and predictions below?

Incidentally, is E&T the only World Cup observer that thinks Wayne Rooney had a point about the England fans booing them? England didn’t play well, we could all see that, but they didn’t lose and their future is still in their hands. Why would you boo the team you’ve paid hundreds of pounds to fly thousands of miles to watch off the pitch? Maybe just don’t clap so much as they leave the field, eh?

Remember: this is just for fun and all predictions are for entertainment only. Any mortgages lost or other sums squandered based on the information supplied are your own responsibility! And yes, I will keep mentioning this every day. I think you’ve got the message by now.

Incidentally, if you want to read our magazine feature on the science of football prediction, I can heartily recommend it. If you’re not much of a reader, wear your eyeballs out on the accompanying football predictions video.


2 thoughts on “E&T World Cup blog: day ten, Italy vs New Zealand

  1. At every single World Cup I can remember, there’s always some belly-aching about the ball being lighter and more unpredictable than ever, but the sheer weirdness of 2010’s performances leads me for the first time to wonder whether it’s true.

    I’ve noticed a new kind of goal being scored at this World Cup — three instances (two Brazilian) of a player blasting from an acute angle. It struck me that this maximises the vertical tolerance of a shot (it gives you a lot of roof to aim at), even while minimising the horizontal tolerance (i.e. width of the goal). The accuracy width-wise has never been a problem, but every ball has ballooned over the top, so such an approach would make sense.

    I just could not understand why Luis Fabiano would blast the ball so from such an angle, but this seems to answer it.

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